Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.