Major League Soccer

Jun 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Field

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Toronto

Arriaga (89', 89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Insigne (58', 58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota United	Draw	Toronto
58.31% ( -0.18)	22.37% ( 0.07)	19.32% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03% (

-0.16)

45.97% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72% (

-0.16)

68.28% (

0.16)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54% (

-0.12)

15.46% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.68% (

-0.22)

44.32% (

0.22)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.24% (

0.02)

37.76% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.46% (

0.02)

74.54% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Minnesota United 58.3%

Toronto 19.32%

Draw 22.37%

Minnesota United	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.3%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.37%	0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.32%