Major League Soccer

Jun 25, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 1
NY City

Evander (38', 38')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Parks (51', 51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 1-2 Chicago Fire
Thursday, June 22 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 NY City
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	New York City FC
48.93% ( 2.35)	25.47% ( -0.66)	25.59% ( -1.69)

Both teams to score 50.95% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86% (

1.47)

52.13% (

-1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

1.25)

73.85% (

-1.26)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.67% (

1.66)

21.32% (

-1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.72% (

2.51)

54.27% (

-2.51)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.76% (

-0.6)

35.23% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28% (

-0.63)

71.99% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 48.93%

New York City FC 25.59%

Draw 25.47%

Portland Timbers	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.41% Total : 48.93%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.59%