Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Portland Timbers | Draw | New York City FC |
48.93% ( 2.35) | 25.47% ( -0.66) | 25.59% ( -1.69) |
Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% ( 1.47) | 52.13% ( -1.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.15% ( 1.25) | 73.85% ( -1.26) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.67% ( 1.66) | 21.32% ( -1.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.72% ( 2.51) | 54.27% ( -2.51) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.76% ( -0.6) | 35.23% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% ( -0.63) | 71.99% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Portland Timbers | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.4) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.41% Total : 48.93% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.61) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |