Major League Soccer

Jun 22, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 2
Chicago Fire

Boli (26', 26')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Herbers (8', 8'), Kamara (83', 83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 11 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Chicago Fire
57.9% ( 0.03)	22.49% ( -0.01)	19.6% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

0.03)

46.11% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

0.03)

68.41% (

-0.03)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.36% (

0.02)

15.64% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.34% (

0.04)

44.66% (

-0.04)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.45% (

-0)

37.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.67% (

-0)

74.32% (

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 57.89%

Chicago Fire 19.6%

Draw 22.49%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.89%	1-1 @ 10.67% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.49%	0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.6%