MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 10:36:08| >> :60:58:58:
FC Cincinnati
US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 7, 2023 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Vazquez (56'), Barreal (71'), Arias (90+2')
Nwobodo (11'), Murphy (29'), Badji (35'), Acosta (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Showunmi (90+4')
Biasi (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's US Open Cup clash between FC Cincinnati and Pittsburgh Riverhounds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds

 Cincy are not nearly as susceptible along the back end as the Revs or Columbus, and like Pittsburgh, they have won their share of close 1-0 games throughout the campaign. Expect the Hounds to try and swarm the Orange and Blue with numerous players behind the ball, it is just difficult to envision the visitors creating much against such a deep squad like Cincinnati, let alone keep them off the scoresheet for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pittsburgh Riverhounds had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
52.81% (1.282 1.28) 25.29% (0.168 0.17) 21.9% (-1.453 -1.45)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-2.188 -2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-2.013 -2.01)54.58% (2.009 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-1.697 -1.7)75.93% (1.694 1.69)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)20.68% (0.275 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.438 -0.44)53.27% (0.434 0.43)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99% (-2.539 -2.54)40.01% (2.535 2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34% (-2.407 -2.41)76.66% (2.404 2.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.79%
    Pittsburgh Riverhounds 21.9%
    Draw 25.28%
FC CincinnatiDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.88 0.88)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.612 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.627 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.342 -0.34)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

FC Cincinnati
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
9.1%
11
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for FC Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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