US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals

Jun 7, 2023 at 12am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Vazquez (56', 56'), Barreal (71', 71'), Arias (90+2', 90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Showunmi (90+4', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's US Open Cup clash between FC Cincinnati and Pittsburgh Riverhounds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pittsburgh Riverhounds had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
52.81% ( 1.28)	25.29% ( 0.17)	21.9% ( -1.45)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.41% (

-2.01)

54.58% (

2.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.07% (

-1.7)

75.93% (

1.69)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-0.28)

20.68% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72% (

-0.44)

53.27% (

0.43)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.99% (

-2.54)

40.01% (

2.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34% (

-2.41)

76.66% (

2.4)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 52.79%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 21.9%

Draw 25.28%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.88) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.4% Total : 52.79%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.9%