Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 44.93% ( | 25.37% ( | 29.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.79% ( | 49.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( | 71.27% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( | 21.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( | 55.13% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( | 30.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% ( | 66.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 2-0 @ 7.71% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.69% |