Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
44.93% ( -0.29) | 25.37% ( -0.07) | 29.69% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 54.27% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.79% ( 0.46) | 49.21% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.72% ( 0.42) | 71.27% ( -0.42) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% ( 0.06) | 21.88% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% ( 0.1) | 55.13% ( -0.1) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.47% ( 0.49) | 30.52% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.25% ( 0.58) | 66.74% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.08% Total : 29.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 24 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 21 |
3 | Toronto | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 14 |
7 | DC United | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
9 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
14 | Orlando City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |