Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.