Major League Soccer

Jun 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 0
Toronto

Arias (35', 35'), Acosta (54', 54'), Badji (63', 63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 11 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC Cincinnati	Draw	Toronto
63.46% ( -0.13)	21.32% ( 0.04)	15.21% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 47.7% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.69% (

-0.01)

48.3% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.55% (

-0.01)

70.45% (

0.02)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.43% (

-0.05)

14.57% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.36% (

-0.09)

42.64% (

0.09)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.84% (

0.12)

44.16% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.74% (

0.1)

80.25% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

FC Cincinnati 63.45%

Toronto 15.21%

Draw 21.32%

FC Cincinnati	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.45%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.32%	0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 15.21%