Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 51.27% ( | 24.18% ( | 24.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( | 69.87% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( | 18.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.12% ( | 49.88% ( |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( | 33.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( | 70.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.55% |