Major League Soccer

Aug 31, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Insigne (23', 23'), Kerr (58', 58'), Osorio (63', 63')
Ibarra (76'), Ibarra (76'), Romero (87'), Romero (87'), Insigne (90+3'), Vazquez (90+6'), Insigne (90+3'), Vazquez (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Carranza (45', 45')
Glesnes (90+1'), Andres Martinez (90+4'), Glesnes (90+1'), Andres Martinez (90+5'), Wagner (90+9')
Bueno (90+7'), Bueno (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, August 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
33.56% ( 0.01)	26% ( 0.01)	40.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.49% (

-0.02)

50.51% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57% (

-0.01)

72.43% (

0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43%

28.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63% (

-0)

64.37% (

0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36% (

-0.01)

24.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

-0.02)

59.16% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Toronto 33.56%

Philadelphia Union 40.44%

Draw 25.99%

Toronto	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.56%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.44%