Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT BMO Field
  • Lorenzo Insigne 23' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 23' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 58' goal
  • Deandre Kerr 58' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 63' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 63' goal
  • Franco Ibarra 76' yellowcard
  • Franco Ibarra 76' yellowcard
  • Tomas Romero 87' yellowcard
  • Tomas Romero 87' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Insigne 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Victor Vazquez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Victor Vazquez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 90'+5'
  • redcard Jesus Bueno 90'+7'
  • redcard Jesus Bueno 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 90'+9'

Toronto vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
DC United 1 - 3 Philadelphia
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 33.56% (+0.01)
Draw 26% (+0.01)
Philadelphia Union 40.44% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.83% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.49% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 50.51% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 27.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 72.43% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.02% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.98% (+0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 71.43%
Under 0.5 28.58% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.63% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.37% (+0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 75.36% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.64% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.85% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 59.16% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Toronto 33.56%
Draw 25.99%
Philadelphia Union 40.44%
Toronto
1-0 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.44%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Lukas MacNaughton 16' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 20' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 43' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 56' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 66'
  • goal Richie Laryea 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Daniel Gazdag 4' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 42' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 60' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 63' goal
Major League Soccer
Apr 17, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jayden Nelson 19' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 30' yellowcard
  • Jesus Jimenez 39' goal
  • Michael Bradley 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 51' goal
  • Kadin Chung 75' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 34'
  • goal Julian Carranza 34'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 53'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chris Mavinga 57' yellowcard
  • Jozy Altidore 66' goal
  • Jack Elliott 70' goal
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 1'
  • goal Sergio Santos 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 87'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Jakob Glesnes 12' goal
  • Jakob Glesnes 26' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 33' goal
  • Sergio Santos 36' goal
  • Kai Wagner 47' yellowcard
  • Olivier Mbaizo 90' yellowcard
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jamiro Monteiro 9' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 27' goal
  • Mark McKenzie 33' goal
  • Jamiro Monteiro 55' goal
  • Sergio Santos 63' goal
  • Andre Blake 64' yellowcard
  • Sergio Santos 68' goal
  • yellowcard Auro 10'
  • yellowcard Patrick Mullins 73'