Major League Soccer

Jun 25, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Inter Miami

Glesnes (14', 14'), Carranza (39', 39'), Flach (45+4', 45+4'), Ruiz (68' og., 68' og.)

FT(HT: 6-0)

Taylor (50', 50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 2-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: New England 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Inter Miami
68.57% ( -1.51)	19.01% ( 0.78)	12.42% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 47.65% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.61% (

-1.61)

44.39% (

1.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.24% (

-1.58)

66.76% (

1.58)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.13% (

-0.86)

11.87% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.83% (

-1.86)

37.17% (

1.87)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.07% (

0.21)

45.93% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.33% (

0.16)

81.67% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 68.57%

Inter Miami 12.42%

Draw 19.01%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Inter Miami
2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.34% Total : 68.57%	1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.01%	0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 12.42%