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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
Philadelphia Union
Earthquakes
2 - 1
Philadelphia
Ebobisse (8'), Trauco (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lowe (17')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 0-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Montreal
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Philadelphia Union

Due to their defensive solidity, San Jose can stay unbeaten at home this season by restricting in-form Philadelphia to a low-scoring draw. The visitors boast a dangerous attack, but their hosts have shown more resilience of late and are particularly tough to beat at PayPal Park.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPhiladelphia Union
42.58% (-1.278 -1.28) 26.34% (-0.193 -0.19) 31.08% (1.47 1.47)
Both teams to score 51.88% (1.285 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.37% (1.331 1.33)52.63% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.72% (1.127 1.13)74.28% (-1.127 -1.13)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)24.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.05% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)58.95% (0.064 0.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (1.743 1.74)31.29% (-1.744 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (1.979 1.98)67.64% (-1.979 -1.98)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 42.57%
    Philadelphia Union 31.08%
    Draw 26.33%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.6 -0.6)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.093 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.57%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.203 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.299 0.3)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.242 0.24)
0-3 @ 2% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Philadelphia

San Jose Earthquakes
30.8%
Draw
30.8%
Philadelphia Union
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12.30am
Mar 14, 2020 11.30pm
Sep 26, 2019 4am
gameweek 39
Earthquakes
1-2
Philadelphia
Yueill (35')
Judson (23')
Bedoya (70'), Przybylko (76')
Wagner (7'), Medunjanin (45'), Przybylko (57')
Apr 8, 2018 12am
gameweek 6
Philadelphia
1-1
Earthquakes
Bedoya (64')
Accam (23')
Eriksson (37')
Quintana (56'), Wondolowski (82')
Cummings (96')
Aug 20, 2017 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
Philadelphia
Qazaishvili (3'), Wondolowski (90' pen.)
Jungwirth (13'), Godoy (34'), Thompson (73'), Wondolowski (83')
Elliott (35'), Alberg (55')
Bedoya (74'), Gaddis (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati382210664432176
2Columbus Crew402191082542872
3Orlando City37209857411669
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia3717101061431861
5New England RevolutionNew England361510115950955
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3714121172611154
7Nashville SCNashville361310133934549
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls371211144245-347
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC351013124757-1043
10New York City FCNY City34914113539-441
11CF MontrealMontreal34125173652-1641
12DC United341010144549-440
13Chicago Fire341010143951-1240
14Inter MiamiInter Miami3497184154-1334
15Toronto34410202659-3322

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles3918101163432064
2Houston DynamoHouston3916111256431359
3Seattle SoundersSeattle381611114536959
4St Louis City361751464511356
5Real Salt LakeSalt Lake371410135154-352
6Sporting Kansas CityKansas38149155454051
7Dallas371213124441349
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver361212125754348
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes351015103943-445
10Portland TimbersPortland341110134658-1243
11Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd341011134651-541
12Austin FCAustin34109154955-639
13Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34812145167-1636
14Colorado RapidsColorado34512172654-2827

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