Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
3 - 1
Inter Miami

Gil (27' pen., 27' pen.), Polster (34', 34'), Wood (51', 51')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Martinez (84' pen., 84' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 0-0 New England
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Birmingham Legion 0-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in US Open Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Inter Miami
59.1% ( -3.17)	22.72% ( 1.31)	18.17% ( 1.87)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

-2.41)

49.12% (

2.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

-2.22)

71.19% (

2.22)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72% (

-1.85)

16.27% (

1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

-3.47)

45.82% (

3.47)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.11% (

0.84)

40.89% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.54% (

0.75)

77.46% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 59.09%

Inter Miami 18.17%

Draw 22.72%

New England Revolution	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.65) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.43) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.51) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.03% Total : 59.09%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.17%