US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals

Jun 8, 2023 at 1am UK

BBVA Compass Field

Birmingham Legion
0 - 1
Inter Miami

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's US Open Cup clash between Birmingham Legion and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 DC United
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Birmingham Legion had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Birmingham Legion win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Birmingham Legion	Draw	Inter Miami
36.93% ( 0.17)	25.83% ( -0.02)	37.23% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.81% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

0.09)

49.44% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

0.08)

71.48% (

-0.08)

Birmingham Legion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.95% (

0.14)

26.05% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.91% (

0.19)

61.09% (

-0.19)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12% (

-0.04)

25.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14% (

-0.06)

60.86% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Birmingham Legion 36.93%

Inter Miami 37.23%

Draw 25.83%

Birmingham Legion	Draw	Inter Miami
1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.93%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.23%