Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Birmingham Legion had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Birmingham Legion win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.