Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Exploria Stadium
  • Duncan McGuire 13' goal
  • Duncan McGuire 13' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 54' goal
  • Martin Ojeda 54' goal
  • goal Jack McGlynn 60'
  • goal Jack McGlynn 60'
  • goal Jose Andres Martinez 90'
  • goal Jose Andres Martinez 90'

Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
New England 3 - 1 Orlando City
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes 2 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result

Orlando City 42.61% (-0.01)
Draw 26.41% (+0.01)
Philadelphia Union 30.98% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.62% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.05% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.95% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.45% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.55% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.64% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.36% (+0.01)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 75.38% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.62% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.87% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.13% (+0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 68.48% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.52% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.09% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.91% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Orlando City 42.6%
Draw 26.4%
Philadelphia Union 30.98%
Orlando City
1-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62%
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 26.4%
Philadelphia Union
0-1 @ 8.96% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.98%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Talen Energy Stadium
  • Andres Perea 17' goal
  • goal Martin Ojeda 2'
  • goal Ivan Angulo 9'
Major League Soccer
Sep 11, 2022 12.30am
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Olivier Mbaizo 39' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 43' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 55' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 63' goal
  • Jack Elliott 87' goal
  • goal Andres Perea 75'
Major League Soccer
Jul 24, 2022 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ercan Kara 31' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 37' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 8'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 39'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 44'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 34
Sep 19, 2021 9.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kai Wagner 37' goal
  • Leon Flach 53' yellowcard
  • Kacper Przybylko 61' goal
  • Kacper Przybylko 89' goal
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 33'
  • goal Ruan 57'
  • yellowcard Ruan 59'
  • yellowcard Benji Michel 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 80'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 80'
  • yellowcard Raul Aguilera 86'
  • redcard Antonio Carlos 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 18
Jul 23, 2021 1.25am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benji Michel 10' goal
  • Mauricio Pereyra 45' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 59' goal
  • Benji Michel 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Santos 56'
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 68'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 39
Aug 30, 2020 12.30am