Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 42.61% ( | 26.41% ( | 30.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( | 52.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( | 74.55% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( | 24.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( | 59.13% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( | 31.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% ( | 67.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 2-0 @ 7.62% 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.98% |