Major League Soccer
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Emmanuel Boateng 51' goal
  • Emmanuel Boateng 51' goal
  • Gustavo Bou 69' goal
  • Gustavo Bou 69' goal
  • Carles Gil 85' goal
  • Carles Gil 85' goal
  • goal Duncan McGuire 80'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 80'

New England Revolution vs Orlando City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
New England 3 - 1 Inter Miami
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Carles Gil

Orlando City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 11, 2023 1.20am
Orlando City 2 - 0 Colorado
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Facundo Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result

New England Revolution 58.7% (+0.29)
Draw 22.87% (-0.09)
Orlando City 18.43% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.5% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.65% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 49.35% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 28.6% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.4% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 13.72% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.28% (-0.03)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 83.51% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 16.49% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 53.78% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 46.22% (-0.21)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5 59.27% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 40.72% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 22.69% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 77.31% (+0.19)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 58.69%
Draw 22.86%
Orlando City 18.43%
New England Revolution
1-0 @ 12.1% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.9% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.55% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.89% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.95% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 2.65% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 58.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 22.86%
Orlando City
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 18.43%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Antonio Carlos 6' yellowcard
  • Robin Jansson 66' yellowcard
  • Cesar Araujo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Polster 20'
  • goal Wilfrid Kaptoum 51'
  • goal Frederick Kessler 75'
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2022 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carles Gil 22' goal
  • Wilfrid Kaptoum 24' yellowcard
  • Andrew Farrell 27' yellowcard
  • Dylan Borrero 56' yellowcard
  • DeJuan Jones 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 6'
  • goal Robin Jansson 35'
  • yellowcard Jake Mulraney 44'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Schlegel 77'
  • yellowcard Kyle Smith 88'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 40
Oct 25, 2021 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nani 39' goal
  • Christopher Mueller 47' yellowcard
  • Daryl Dike 50' goal
  • goal Adam Buksa 81'
  • yellowcard Andrew Farrell 87'
  • goal Adam Buksa 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 35
Sep 26, 2021 12.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Adam Buksa 9' goal
  • Rodrigo Schlegel 35' goal
  • Tajon Buchanan 80' yellowcard
  • goal Daryl Dike 18'
  • yellowcard Benji Michel 19'
  • yellowcard Robin Jansson 39'
MLS Playoffs
Nov 29, 2020 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Junior Urso 33' goal
  • Antonio Carlos 47' yellowcard
  • Daryl Dike 53' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Pereyra 60' redcard
  • Nani 62' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 75' yellowcard
  • goal Carles Gil 17'
  • goal Gustavo Bou 25'
  • yellowcard Adam Buksa 28'
  • goal Gustavo Bou 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 45
Oct 4, 2020 9.30pm