Major League Soccer

Jun 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
3 - 1
Orlando City

Boateng (51', 51'), Bou (69', 69'), Gil (85', 85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McGuire (80', 80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 3-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 11 at 1.20am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Orlando City
58.7% ( 0.28)	22.87% ( -0.08)	18.43% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

0.05)

49.35% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

0.04)

71.4% (

-0.04)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.51% (

0.11)

16.49% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.78% (

0.2)

46.22% (

-0.21)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.27% (

-0.21)

40.72% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.69% (

-0.19)

77.31% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 58.69%

Orlando City 18.43%

Draw 22.86%

New England Revolution	Draw	Orlando City
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 58.69%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.43%