Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 53.88% ( | 26.14% ( | 19.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% ( | 59.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% ( | 79.85% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( | 22.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.33% ( | 55.67% ( |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.11% ( | 44.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.16% ( | 80.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
| 1-0 @ 15% ( 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.87% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 2-2 @ 3.62% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 2-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.97% |