Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Seattle Sounders in this match.