Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 63.5% ( | 21.09% ( | 15.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.02% ( | 46.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.77% ( | 69.23% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( | 14.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.21% ( | 41.79% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% ( | 43.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.63% ( | 79.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 3-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 4-0 @ 3.72% ( 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 5-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 63.49% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.13% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0-2 @ 2.16% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 15.4% |