Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 41.72% ( | 24.35% ( | 33.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.95% ( | 43.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.55% ( | 65.45% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( | 20.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( | 24.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( | 59.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.93% |