Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.