Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 50.73% ( | 23.49% ( | 25.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( | 43.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( | 65.96% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% | 17.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.42% ( | 47.57% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( | 30.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% ( | 66.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.73% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.78% |