Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 6pm UK

CityPark

St Louis City
1 - 1
LA Galaxy

Gioacchini (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aguirre (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 St Louis City
Thursday, June 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, June 8 at 2.30am in US Open Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.52%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
37.93% ( -0.13)	23.39% ( 0.01)	38.67% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 63.83% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.19% (

-0.07)

37.81% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.94% (

-0.07)

60.05% (

0.07)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72% (

-0.09)

20.28% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37% (

-0.15)

52.63% (

0.14)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

0.02)

19.93% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.93% (

0.04)

52.07% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 37.93%

Los Angeles Galaxy 38.67%

Draw 23.39%

St Louis City	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.93%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 38.67%