We saw a significant drop in intensity from St Louis without Klauss last weekend, and although this is still a talented group, we do not expect them to create much against a Toros unit that have looked much more compact of late at home.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.
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