Major League Soccer
Jun 8, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Jesus Ferreira 80' goal
  • Marco Farfan 89' goal

Dallas vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
Dallas 1 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Jesus Ferreira

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City 3 - 0 Houston
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samuel Adeniran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dallas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result

Dallas 68.05% (+0.01)
Draw 19.16% (-0.01)
St Louis City 12.79% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.24% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.82% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 44.18% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 33.44% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 66.55% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.11%
Under 4.5 82.88% (-0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5 88.04%
Under 0.5 11.95% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 62.65% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.34% (-0.01)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 54.79% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 45.2%
Over 1.5 18.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 81.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Dallas 68.03%
Draw 19.16%
St Louis City 12.79%
Dallas
2-0 @ 12.18%
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 8.63% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.85%
4-0 @ 4.58% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72%
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 68.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.16%
St Louis City
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 12.79%

Build-up

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