Major League Soccer

Jun 1, 2023 at 2.35am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
2 - 1
Dallas

Kinda (41', 41'), Salloi (60', 60')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ferreira (90+1', 90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 4-1 Portland
Sunday, May 28 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Kansas City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Kansas City.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Dallas
57.55% ( 0.01)	23.42% ( 0)	19.03% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.87% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.28% (

-0.04)

50.72% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.38% (

-0.03)

72.62% (

0.03)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.61% (

-0.01)

17.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.2% (

-0.02)

47.8% (

0.02)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16% (

-0.04)

40.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.59% (

-0.03)

77.41% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 57.54%

Dallas 19.03%

Draw 23.41%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 57.54%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.03%