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Major League Soccer

St Louis City
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 2.30am UK
CityPark
Sporting Kansas

St Louis City
4 - 0
Kansas

Lowen (19' pen.), Vassilev (25', 75'), Gioacchini (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 St Louis City
Saturday, May 13 at 6pm in Major League Soccer
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Kansas
Thursday, May 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawSporting Kansas City
45.22% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)24.55% (0.217 0.22)30.23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.756 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (-0.989 -0.99)45.38% (0.992 0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.952 -0.95)67.71% (0.95399999999999 0.95)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.486 -0.49)20.17% (0.489 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.783 -0.78)52.46% (0.786 0.79)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.506 -0.51)28.21% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-0.645 -0.64)63.91% (0.65 0.65)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 45.22%
    Sporting Kansas City 30.23%
    Draw 24.54%
St Louis CityDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.11% (0.247 0.25)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.238 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.23%