Major League Soccer

May 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
2 - 1
Vancouver

Ferreira (37', 37', 54', 54')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Vite (23', 23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Vancouver Whitecaps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 0-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 3-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
52.47% ( 0.02)	24.33% ( -0.01)	23.19% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.96% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.42% (

0.01)

49.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39% (

0.01)

71.6% (

-0.01)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.14% (

0.01)

18.85% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.68% (

0.02)

50.31% (

-0.02)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.04% (

-0.01)

35.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.26% (

-0.01)

72.73% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Dallas 52.47%

Vancouver Whitecaps 23.19%

Draw 24.32%

Dallas	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.47%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.19%