Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 1.30am
3
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Eduard Lowen 10' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 10' goal
  • Tristan Blackmon 45' goal
  • Tristan Blackmon 45' goal
  • Miguel Perez 90'+4' goal
  • Miguel Perez 90'+4' goal
  • goal Brian White 83'
  • goal Brian White 83'

St Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 21, 2023 2.30am
St Louis City 4 - 0 Kansas
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samuel Adeniran

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Vancouver 2 - 0 Seattle
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Brian White

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result

St Louis City 31.15% (-1.73)
Draw 23.5% (-0.45)
Vancouver Whitecaps 45.35% (+2.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.52% (+0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.94% (+1.43)
Under 2.5 40.06% (-1.42)
Over 3.5 37.57% (+1.46)
Under 3.5 62.43% (-1.46)
Over 4.5 20.22% (+1.12)
Under 4.5 79.77% (-1.12)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 75.01% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 24.99% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 40.36% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 59.64% (+0.49)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5 82.02% (+1.48)
Under 0.5 17.98% (-1.48)
Over 1.5 51.16% (+2.48)
Under 1.5 48.84% (-2.48)

Score analysis

St Louis City 31.15%
Draw 23.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps 45.35%
St Louis City
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.29)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.49)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.39)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 6.36% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.68% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps
1-2 @ 9.17% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 6.61% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 5.25% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 3.78% (+0.28)
2-3 @ 3.64% (+0.20)
1-4 @ 2.25% (+0.25)
0-4 @ 1.62% (+0.19)
2-4 @ 1.56% (+0.16)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 45.35%