/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Floulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fhoulog.png)
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Eduard Lowen
9'
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Eduard Lowen
9'
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Tomas Ostrak
51'
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Tomas Ostrak
51'
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Nicholas Gioacchini
83'
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Nicholas Gioacchini
83'
St Louis City vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
St Louis City Goals
Houston Dynamo Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.57%
2-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 35.65%