Major League Soccer

Jun 1, 2023 at 3.30am UK

BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
6 - 2
Houston

Vite (1', 1'), Gressel (18', 18', 59', 59'), White (46', 46'), Berhalter (88', 88'), Gauld (90+5', 90+5')

FT(HT: 4-4)

Baird (8', 8'), Bassi (16', 16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Vancouver
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Houston Dynamo
61.69% ( 0.05)	21.71% ( -0.01)	16.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.52% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53% (

-0.01)

47.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

-0.01)

69.68% (

0.01)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.14% (

0.01)

14.86% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.81% (

0.02)

43.19% (

-0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.17% (

-0.05)

41.83% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71% (

-0.04)

78.29% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Vancouver Whitecaps 61.68%

Houston Dynamo 16.59%

Draw 21.71%

Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw	Houston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 61.68%	1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.71%	0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.59%