Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 59.88% ( | 20.85% ( | 19.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% ( | 39.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% ( | 61.55% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( | 12.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.98% ( | 39.01% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( | 33.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.44% ( | 70.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 3-0 @ 6.29% ( 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 4-0 @ 3.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 5-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 59.88% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.26% |