Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 61.93% ( | 21.3% ( | 16.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( | 45.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% ( | 67.76% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( | 14.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.25% ( | 41.75% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.61% ( | 40.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.99% ( | 77.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 3-0 @ 7.13% ( 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 5-0 @ 1.37% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 61.92% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.76% |