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[monks data]
Sporting Kansas
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 42
Oct 28, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Livestrong Sporting Park
LA Galaxy

Kansas
2 - 0
LA Galaxy

Russell (40', 82')
Isimat-Mirin (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With a postseason berth now assured, Sporting Kansas City will focus their attention on trying to reclaim first place in the Western Conference, trailing the Seattle Sounders by three points, as the Wizards return to Children's Mercy Park to host the Los Angeles Galaxy on Wednesday.

On Saturday, KC scored a 79th-minute winner to claim a big 2-1 result over the Rave Green, while the Galaxy fought their way back from a two-goal deficit to earn a 2-2 draw with Dallas.


Match preview

Sporting Kansas City celebrate after a goal was scored against the Seattle Sounders by Sporting Kansas City midfielder Remi Walter (54) during the first half at Lumen Field on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Throughout the 2021 campaign, the Wizards have been in a see-saw battle for first against Seattle, with Sporting landing a blow to the reigning Western Conference champions this past weekend.

Just like a year ago, we might not know who will come out on top until the final regular-season game, but KC do have a game in hand over Seattle and the Colorado Rapids down the stretch.

With so much on the line in their final meeting of the season against the Rave Green, these two veteran teams were intent on stopping any kind of rhythm that the opposition could accumulate on Saturday, with a total of 35 fouls committed between both sides, plus eight cautions.

Afterwards, Peter Vermes said that he was proud of the way that his players battled through some tough stretches, particularly in the second half as Seattle pushed hard for an equaliser, and despite getting scored on in the 58th minute, KC were able to keep their composure defensively, with some timely tackles after that.

Kansas City have now made the postseason in 10 successive campaigns, the second-longest active streak, behind the team that they are currently chasing atop the Western Conference.

This team have made it a point to get on the front foot early, particularly at home, where they have scored first in three of their last four fixtures within the opening 20 minutes.

Los Angeles Galaxy forward Javier Hernandez celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal on June 27, 2021© Reuters

The Galaxy showed a ton of resilience to fight their way back from a 2-0 hole at home to Dallas, extending their unbeaten run to four games as they sit in fifth in the Western Conference.

With three games to go, Greg Vanney has his team in position to get back into the postseason, but it will not be an easy road the rest of the way as they end the regular season away to Kansas City and Seattle, before wrapping things up at home against Minnesota United.

There has been a bit of good fortune for LA on their current unbeaten run as they have earned a penalty kick in each of their last three matches, converting every time, while also benefiting from an own goal last week versus the Houston Dynamo, courtesy of an error by Zarek Valentin to put them up 2-0 going into half-time.

They have undoubtedly created their fair share of opportunities lately and been strong on the counter, but their style of play has left them susceptible in transition, conceding 28 shots on target in their previous four games.

Over their past two campaigns, their form down the stretch has let them down, winning only one of their final three regular-season encounters in 2019 and 2020.

This year, a similar run could be detrimental to their playoff aspirations, as they are only four points ahead of Real Salt Lake for that final playoff spot, though RSL do have a game in hand.

Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Los Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Sporting Kansas City head coach Peter Vermes pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Johnny Russell now has a goal in seven straight matches for KC, scoring the winner versus the Sounders as he is tied for the fifth-longest goalscoring streak in MLS history and his 37 career strikes have put him into a tie with former Colorado Rapids ace John Spencer for most by a Scottish player in league history.

Leading goalscorer Daniel Salloi and Jose Mauri will be question marks with ankle issues, Alan Pulido has not recovered from a knock to his knee, Jaylin Lindsey has a hamstring problem and Felipe Hernandez is suspended.

Roger Espinoza set up the winner for Russell, his first of the campaign, as he now has 11 game-winning assists in his Sporting career in regular season play, putting him just two back of Beni Feilhaber, while Remi Walter picked his first career goal in a Kansas City shirt.

Chicharito helped kickstart the comeback for the Galaxy with his 14th of the year from the penalty spot, while Sebastian Lletget got his second of the season with Samuel Grandsir collecting his third assist on that play.

Julian Araujo missed their match with Dallas because of yellow card accumulation, Nick DePuy will be ineligible for this fixture after being cautioned with five minutes to play, and Jorge Villafana remains questionable with an undisclosed injury.

Jonathan Bond has been extremely busy in goal for LA, stopping 24 of the last 28 shots that have been fired his way, helping his team earn points in each of those encounters.

Sporting Kansas City possible starting lineup:
Melia; Martins, Fontas, llie, Zusi; Espinoza, Duke, Walter, Kinda; Shelton, Russell

Los Angeles Galaxy possible starting lineup:
Bond; Fisher, Williams, Coulibaly, Araujo; Dos Santos, Raveloson; Grandsir, Vazquez, Lletget; Chicharito


SM words green background

We say: Sporting Kansas City 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy

It is a good thing that the Galaxy have a bit of a cushion down the stretch of the regular season, as they will have a tough time getting points the rest of the way, and they will be hard-pressed to rattle a team as well-disciplined as KC, who have only conceded one penalty kick all year.

Even without Salloi and Pulido, KC are a top-notch team with balance and structure all over the field, so look for them to put more pressure on Seattle by picking up three points on Wednesday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 3-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Kansas vs LA Galaxy

Sporting Kansas City
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Los Angeles Galaxy
7.7%
13
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Seattle Sounders FC head coach Brian Schmetzer on June 27, 2021
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
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4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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