Major League Soccer

Jun 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
4 - 1
Austin

Pulido (19', 19', 57', 57'), Castellanos (47', 47'), Shelton (89', 89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Driussi (61', 61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Kansas
Sunday, June 4 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Austin FC
65.59% ( -0.23)	20.16% ( 0.13)	14.25% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 48.99% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68% (

-0.35)

45.32% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.34% (

-0.33)

67.66% (

0.33)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.01% (

-0.17)

12.99% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.5% (

-0.35)

39.5% (

0.35)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.3% (

-0.07)

43.7% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.12% (

-0.06)

79.88% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 65.58%

Austin FC 14.25%

Draw 20.16%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Austin FC
2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 65.58%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.16%	0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 14.25%