Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 62.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | St Louis City |
| 62.75% ( | 20.12% ( | 17.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( | 39.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( | 61.78% ( |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.99% ( | 12.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.53% ( | 37.46% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( | 36.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( | 73.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-0 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 4-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 3.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.89% Total : 62.75% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.02% 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0-2 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.69% 1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.13% |