Major League Soccer

Jun 22, 2023 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
1 - 3
Salt Lake

Gioacchini (21', 21')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Luna (15', 15'), Kreilach (48', 48', 66', 66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

Last Game: Nashville 3-1 St Louis City
Sunday, June 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: DC United 1-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Real Salt Lake
41.41% ( 0.03)	24.42% ( -0)	34.18% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 59.43% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.69% (

43.31% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.29% (

65.71% (

-0)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98% (

0.02)

21.02% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2% (

0.02)

53.8% (

-0.02)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

-0.01)

24.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69% (

-0.02)

59.31% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 41.41%

Real Salt Lake 34.18%

Draw 24.42%

St Louis City	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 41.41%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.17% 0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.18%