Major League Soccer

Jun 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
3 - 1
St Louis City

Williams (11', 11', 70' pen., 70' pen., 75', 75')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gioacchini (41', 41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 11 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	St Louis City
68.37% ( -0.31)	18.54% ( 0.07)	13.09% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 51.26% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

0.28)

40.65% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.96% (

0.28)

63.03% (

-0.28)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.13% (

-0)

10.87% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.02% (

-0.01)

34.98% (

0.01)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.51% (

0.55)

42.49% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.14% (

0.47)

78.86% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 68.36%

St Louis City 13.09%

Draw 18.54%

Nashville SC	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.09% Total : 68.36%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.54%	0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.09%