Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.