Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.