Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 7' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 79' goal

Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 4 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Giorgos Giakoumakis

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia 4 - 1 Inter Miami
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result

Atlanta United 48.11% (-0.01)
Draw 23.86%
Philadelphia Union 28.03% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.21% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.46% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 43.53% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 34.07% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 65.93% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.58% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.42% (-0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 81.76% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.24%
Over 1.5 50.72% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.28%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 71.2% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.8% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.35% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.65% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 48.11%
Draw 23.85%
Philadelphia Union 28.03%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 48.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 5.89% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.85%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.45% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 28.03%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2022 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2022 12.00am
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Julian Carranza 18' goal
  • Alejandro Bedoya 37' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 45'+3' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 51' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 67' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 83' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Pineda Reyes 17'
  • goal Andrew Gutman 24'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 47'
  • yellowcard Dom Dwyer 83'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 33
Sep 25, 2021 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jose Andres Martinez 39' yellowcard
  • Kacper Przybylko 71' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelino Moreno 31'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kacper Przybylko 58' goal
  • Erik Lopez 76' yellowcard
  • Anton Walkes 83' goal
  • yellowcard Alejandro Bedoya 30'
  • yellowcard Leon Flach 41'
  • yellowcard Anthony Fontana 53'
  • yellowcard Jakob Glesnes 60'
  • goal Cory Burke 84'
  • yellowcard Jamiro Monteiro 90'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 90'+3'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 23
Jun 20, 2020 10.30pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 15
May 10, 2020 12.30am