Major League Soccer

Jul 2, 2023 at 9pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 0
Philadelphia

Almada (7'), Lennon (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
48.11% ( -0)	23.86%	28.03% ( 0)

Both teams to score 58.21% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46% (

0.01)

43.53% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.07% (

0.01)

65.93% (

-0)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76% (

18.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.72% (

49.28%

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

0.01)

28.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

0.01)

64.65% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 48.11%

Philadelphia Union 28.03%

Draw 23.85%

Atlanta United	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.54% Total : 48.11%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 28.03%