Major League Soccer

Jun 25, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
4 - 0
Atlanta

Edelman (32', 32'), Casseres Jr (45', 45'), Amaya (78', 78', 90', 90')

FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Atlanta United

All competitions

Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 NY City
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Atlanta United
50.83% ( 1.91)	24.7% ( -0.64)	24.47% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 52.24% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.09% (

1.56)

49.91% (

-1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.1% (

1.38)

71.9% (

-1.38)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36% (

1.41)

19.64% (

-1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.4% (

2.26)

51.6% (

-2.26)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65% (

-0.24)

34.99% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.26% (

-0.25)

71.74% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 50.82%

Atlanta United 24.47%

Draw 24.69%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Atlanta United
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.82%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.06% Total : 24.47%