Major League Soccer

Jul 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 1
Salt Lake

FT(HT: 0-0)

Julio (90+2', 90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Real Salt Lake
46.6% ( -0.04)	25% ( 0)	28.39% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.64% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.65% (

48.35% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.51% (

70.49% (

-0)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

-0.02)

20.78% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

-0.02)

53.43% (

0.03)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

0.03)

31.02% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

0.03)

67.33% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Toronto 46.59%

Real Salt Lake 28.39%

Draw 25%

Toronto	Draw	Real Salt Lake
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.59%	1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.39%