Major League Soccer

Jun 25, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
2 - 1
Toronto

Wood (33', 33'), Vrioni (52', 52')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Kerr (11', 11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: New England 3-1 Orlando City
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Toronto
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Toronto
66.9% ( -0)	19.2%	13.9%

Both teams to score 51.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.23%

41.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.82%

64.17% (

-0)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.43% (

-0)

11.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.47% (

-0)

36.52%

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.01%

41.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.57%

78.43% (

-0)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 66.88%

Toronto 13.9%

Draw 19.2%

New England Revolution	Draw	Toronto
2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.47% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 4.38% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.73% Total : 66.88%	1-1 @ 9.09% 0-0 @ 4.86% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 1% Total : 19.2%	0-1 @ 4.22% 1-2 @ 3.95% 0-2 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.54% Total : 13.9%