Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.