Major League Soccer

Jul 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK

First Tennessee Park

Nashville
0 - 2
Philadelphia

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gazdag (40' pen., 40' pen., 84' pen., 84' pen.)

Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, July 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
49.03% ( 0.11)	25.35% ( -0.02)	25.62% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.38% (

0.01)

51.62% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.59% (

0.01)

73.41% (

-0)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

0.05)

21.07% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

0.08)

53.88% (

-0.08)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

-0.07)

34.94% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

-0.07)

71.68% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Nashville SC 49.03%

Philadelphia Union 25.62%

Draw 25.34%

Nashville SC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.03%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 25.62%