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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Nashville

Chicago Fire
1 - 0
Nashville

Herbers (34', 34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 DC United
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
40.57% (0.07 0.07)27.7% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)31.73% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.32% (0.014000000000003 0.01)57.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.57% (0.012 0.01)78.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (0.045999999999992 0.05)27.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (0.058 0.06)63.49% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)33.43% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-0.038 -0.04)70.06% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 40.57%
    Nashville SC 31.73%
    Draw 27.7%
Chicago FireDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 40.57%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.73%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Nashville

Chicago Fire
24.2%
Draw
36.4%
Nashville SC
39.4%
33
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
3-0
Chicago Fire
Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 36
Chicago Fire
0-0
Nashville
Pineda (50')
Anunga (56')
Jul 18, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Nashville
5-1
Chicago Fire
Pineda (27'), Navarro (49')
Kappelhof (14')
Nov 1, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Nashville
1-1
Chicago Fire
Rios (28')
McCarty (90')
Sekulic (42')
Jul 9, 2020 3.30am