Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 40.57% ( | 27.7% ( | 31.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.32% ( | 57.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.57% ( | 78.44% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( | 27.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( | 63.49% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( | 33.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( | 70.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.73% |