Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 61.17% ( | 21.74% ( | 17.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( | 46.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( | 69.01% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.21% ( | 14.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.95% ( | 43.05% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.21% ( | 40.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.63% ( | 77.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 3-1 @ 6.3% 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.47% Total : 61.16% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.09% |