Major League Soccer

Jul 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Exploria Stadium

Orlando City
3 - 1
Chicago Fire

Torres (38', 38', 55' pen., 55' pen.), Enrique (75', 75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Shaqiri (66' pen., 66' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, June 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Kansas 0-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Chicago Fire
56.22% ( -0.28)	22.93% ( 0.02)	20.85% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.69% (

0.27)

46.31% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.4% (

0.25)

68.6% (

-0.26)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.72%

16.28% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.17% (

45.83% (

-0.01)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64% (

0.42)

36.36% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85% (

0.42)

73.15% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 56.22%

Chicago Fire 20.85%

Draw 22.92%

Orlando City	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.97% 3-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 56.22%	1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 20.85%