Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • goal Aziel Jackson 50'
  • goal Aziel Jackson 50'

Toronto vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City 4 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Deandre Kerr

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 2, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City 2 - 0 Colorado
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samuel Adeniran

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result

Toronto 53.18% (-0.14)
Draw 22.84% (+0.06)
St Louis City 23.98% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.77% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.67% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 42.33% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 35.27% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 64.73% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 18.46% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 81.53% (+0.15)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 84.08% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 15.92% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 54.83% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 45.17% (+0.21)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 68.71% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 31.29% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 32.35% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 67.65% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Toronto 53.18%
Draw 22.83%
St Louis City 23.98%
Toronto
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.15% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.41% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.83%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.79% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.98%