Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
0 - 1
St Louis City

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jackson (50', 50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 4-0 Toronto
Wednesday, July 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 Colorado
Sunday, July 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 53.18%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
Toronto	Draw	St Louis City
53.18% ( -0.13)	22.84% ( 0.06)	23.98% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 57.77% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.67% (

-0.19)

42.33% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.27% (

-0.19)

64.73% (

0.19)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.08% (

-0.11)

15.92% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.83% (

-0.21)

45.17% (

0.21)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71% (

-0.04)

31.29% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

-0.05)

67.65% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Toronto 53.18%

St Louis City 23.98%

Draw 22.83%

Toronto	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.51% Total : 53.18%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.98%