Major League Soccer

Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
2 - 1
NY City

Andres Martinez (23', 23'), Donovan (81', 81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jasson (86', 86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
66.29% ( 0.56)	20.5% ( -0.28)	13.21% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 45.18% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.05% (

0.53)

48.95% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.96% (

0.48)

71.03% (

-0.48)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.09% (

0.34)

13.91% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.66% (

0.66)

41.34% (

-0.66)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.48% (

-0.12)

47.51% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.12% (

-0.09)

82.87% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 66.27%

New York City FC 13.21%

Draw 20.5%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.27%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.5%	0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 13.21%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY City

Philadelphia Union

92.9%

Draw

7.1%

New York City FC

0.0%

Head to Head

May 28, 2023 12.30am

NY City

1-3

Philadelphia

Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')

Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')

> Preview

Oct 31, 2022 12am

Philadelphia

3-1

NY City

Carranza (65'), Gazdag (67'), Burke (76')

> Preview

Jun 26, 2022 11pm

Philadelphia

2-1

NY City

Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')

Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')

> Preview

Mar 19, 2022 5pm

NY City

0-2

Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')

Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')

> Preview

Dec 5, 2021 8pm

Philadelphia

1-2

NY City

Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')

Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')

> Preview

Form Guide

Nashville 0-2 Philadelphia

LA Galaxy 3-1 Philadelphia

Atlanta 2-0 Philadelphia

Philadelphia 4-1 Inter Miami

Orlando City 2-2 Philadelphia

Earthquakes 2-1 Philadelphia

Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City

NY City 1-1 Charlotte FC

Montreal 0-1 NY City

Portland 1-1 NY City

Atlanta 2-2 NY City

NY City 1-1 Columbus Crew

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Eastern Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Philadelphia Union Philadelphia	14	8	3	3	24	12	12	27
2	Columbus Crew	14	7	5	2	22	18	4	26
3	FC Cincinnati Cincinnati	15	8	2	5	21	21	0	26
4	Inter Miami Inter Miami	13	7	3	3	26	19	7	24
5	New York City FC NY City	15	7	3	5	20	17	3	24
6	Nashville SC Nashville	14	6	4	4	24	17	7	22
7	Charlotte FC Charlotte FC	14	7	1	6	22	18	4	22
8	Chicago Fire	15	6	4	5	28	28	0	22
9	Orlando City	14	5	6	3	25	18	7	21
10	New York Red Bulls NY Red Bulls	14	6	3	5	21	15	6	21
11	New England Revolution New England	13	6	3	4	15	10	5	21
12	DC United	14	4	4	6	15	26	-11	16
13	Toronto	14	3	4	7	16	19	-3	13
14	Atlanta United Atlanta	15	3	4	8	17	27	-10	13
15	CF Montreal Montreal	14	1	3	10	7	25	-18	6

Western Conference

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver	13	8	4	1	24	10	14	28
2	Minnesota United Minnesota Utd	14	8	4	2	25	13	12	28
3	Portland Timbers Portland	13	6	4	3	23	20	3	22
4	Seattle Sounders Seattle	14	5	5	4	23	18	5	20
5	Los Angeles FC Los Angeles	13	5	4	4	21	20	1	19
6	Colorado Rapids Colorado	13	5	4	4	16	18	-2	19
7	San Jose Earthquakes Earthquakes	14	5	2	7	27	22	5	17
8	Dallas	14	4	5	5	15	22	-7	17
9	Austin FC Austin	14	5	2	7	8	17	-9	17
10	St Louis City	14	3	4	7	11	18	-7	13
11	Houston Dynamo Houston	14	3	4	7	14	22	-8	13
12	Real Salt Lake Salt Lake	14	4	1	9	13	21	-8	13
13	Sporting Kansas City Kansas	13	3	2	8	19	23	-4	11
14	Los Angeles Galaxy LA Galaxy	13	1	4	8	12	29	-17	7
15	San Diego FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0