Major League Soccer

Jul 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
1 - 1
NY City

Zawadzki (90+4', 90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Haak (75', 75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Columbus Crew
Wednesday, July 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-1 Charlotte FC
Thursday, July 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	New York City FC
57.27% ( 0.5)	23.28% ( -0.22)	19.44% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 49.95% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37% (

0.52)

49.63% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35% (

0.46)

71.65% (

-0.46)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.91% (

0.37)

17.09% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71% (

0.64)

47.29% (

-0.64)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.25% (

-0.01)

39.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

-0.01)

76.42% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 57.27%

New York City FC 19.44%

Draw 23.28%

Columbus Crew	Draw	New York City FC
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 57.27%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.28%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.44%