Major League Soccer

Jul 2, 2023 at 12.30am UK

MAPFRE Stadium

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Camilo Hernandez (19', 19'), Yeboah (62', 62')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Manoel (38', 38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-0 Atlanta
Sunday, June 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	New York Red Bulls
55.51% ( -0.11)	24.14% ( 0.04)	20.36% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 48.82% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.13% (

-0.08)

51.87% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.38% (

-0.07)

73.62% (

0.07)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.44% (

-0.07)

18.56% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.18% (

-0.12)

49.82% (

0.13)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.95% (

0.03)

40.05% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3% (

0.03)

76.7% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 55.5%

New York Red Bulls 20.36%

Draw 24.13%

Columbus Crew	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 55.5%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.13%	0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.36%