Major League Soccer
Jul 2, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT MAPFRE Stadium
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 19' goal
  • Juan Camilo Hernandez 19' goal
  • Yaw Yeboah 62' goal
  • Yaw Yeboah 62' goal
  • goal Elias Manoel 38'
  • goal Elias Manoel 38'

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Columbus Crew

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew 2 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Juan Camilo Hernandez

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls 4 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Elias Manoel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result

Columbus Crew 55.51% (-0.12)
Draw 24.14% (+0.05)
New York Red Bulls 20.36% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.82% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.13% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.87% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 26.38% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 73.62% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 12.24% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.76% (+0.05)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5 81.44% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 18.56% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 50.18% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 49.82% (+0.13)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5 59.95% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.05% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.3% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 76.7% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Columbus Crew 55.5%
Draw 24.13%
New York Red Bulls 20.36%
Columbus Crew
1-0 @ 12.52% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.54% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 55.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.44% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.13%
New York Red Bulls
0-1 @ 6.8% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.24% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.11% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena, Harrison
  • Luquinhas 58' goal
  • Dante Vanzeir 86' goal
  • goal Alexandru Matan 33'
Major League Soccer
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Derrick Etienne 89' goal
  • Derrick Etienne 90'+3' goal
  • goal Frankie Amaya 53'
Major League Soccer
Mar 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dylan Nealis 34' yellowcard
  • Frankie Amaya 64' yellowcard
  • Tom Barlow 84' goal
  • Cristian Casseres Jr 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darlington Nagbe 43'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 80'
  • goal Darlington Nagbe 90'+5'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 41
Oct 23, 2021 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Miguel Berry 18' goal
  • goal Cristian Casseres Jr 7'
  • yellowcard Patryk Klimala 16'
  • yellowcard Dru Yearwood 70'
  • goal Sean Nealis 87'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 32
Sep 15, 2021 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Darlington Nagbe 74' goal
  • Miguel Berry 88' goal
  • goal Patryk Klimala 25'
  • yellowcard Dru Yearwood 33'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 26
Aug 19, 2021 1.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • John Tolkin 33' goal
  • Patryk Klimala 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erik Hurtado 84'